About Prediction Market Radar | Prediction Market Radar

Why Prediction Market Radar exists

Prediction markets are fragmented across separate platforms. Questions that appear similar can use different wording, deadlines, candidate lists, fees and settlement rules. Prediction Market Radar provides one place to discover those relationships, inspect the original evidence and understand where displayed values agree or differ.

Search across platforms

Market outcomes and broader multi-outcome events are organised into stable comparison pages so the same underlying question can be reviewed without opening every platform first.

Evidence before certainty

Original source titles, direct links, timing and compatibility warnings remain visible. A comparison is never presented as proof of guaranteed execution or profit.

Independent and non-transactional

The service does not connect accounts, hold funds, place orders, recommend stakes or decide whether a platform is available in a particular jurisdiction.

Founder and development

Prediction Market Radar was founded and independently developed by Bruce Mallord, who remains the sole human developer and operator of the service. The production collection, normalisation, matching and publication pipeline does not depend on generative-AI or large-language-model inference.

See Super Match Verification for the human quality-assurance methodology and Data Sources & Attribution for source-use and attribution information.

The Super Match Engine

The Super Match Engine gathers supported source data, normalises market structures and identifies questions that may describe the same real-world event or outcome. It analyses subjects, entities, candidate labels, outcome type, closing times and available settlement information before preparing a comparison.

Comparable results place the strongest values together while preserving exact outcome meaning and source evidence. Incomplete, expired or uncertain groups remain unpublished until the evidence is sufficient.

Who the service is designed for

Readers seeking a clearer view of cross-platform prediction market information.
Journalists and publishers needing attributable market context and source links.
Researchers and analysts studying cross-platform disagreement, liquidity, data timing and market structure.
Developers and data teams considering the Super Match Data API, Widgets or managed data partnerships.

How trust is supported

Timing and source availability are treated as part of every value. Operational source state is shown on Source Status. Material matching concerns can be reported through the Super Match review process. Publication quality gates require at least two supported platforms, exact outcome compatibility and stricter deadline checks for time-bounded events.

Development stage

Prediction Market Radar publishes validated, source-linked comparisons through Super Match and searchable source listings through Offers Search. Teams that need the data in their own product can request the Super Match Data API, Widgets, a managed feed or a dedicated deployment.

Independence and commercial relationships

Prediction Market Radar is presented as an independent data and research service. Platform inclusion is based on reliable source access, data quality and compatibility with the service's validation and publication standards. Sponsorship, data arrangements or other material relationships affecting a publication should be disclosed prominently when applicable.

Limitations

Displayed values can change, source access can fail and related contracts can resolve differently. Fees, liquidity, limits, currency conversion, withdrawal costs and legal eligibility are not necessarily represented. Direct source verification remains essential before drawing conclusions.

Participate or make contact

Potential mismatches can be submitted through Report a mismatch. Product ideas can be supported on the product roadmap. API, widget, research and publishing opportunities can be discussed through the Partner page.