3 supported platforms · Multi-outcome event
Fed decision in September
No change
Super Match links compatible published offers for Fed decision in September from Polymarket, Gemini Predictions and Pascal. Each named outcome remains separate so an offer is never attached to the wrong choice. Open the original markets to confirm the latest price, wording, deadline and settlement rules.
How to read this event
Each row is a separate named outcome. The indicative midpoint is the centre of the YES range across compatible sources; it is not a guaranteed executable price and the displayed candidates may not form a complete 100% book.
Comparison summary
Report a mismatchComparable outcome field
| Outcome | Midpoint | YES range | Best YES | Sources | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No changeFed decision in September? - No change | 69.0% | 69.0%–69.0% | YES 69.0% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| 25 bps hikeFed decision in September? - 25 bps hike | 31.0% | 31.0%–31.0% | YES 31.0% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Cut 25bpsFed decision in September? - Cut 25bps | 1.8% | 1.6%–2.0% | YES 1.6% Pascal ↗ | | |
| 25 bps cutFed decision in September? - 25 bps cut | 1.6% | 1.6%–1.6% | YES 1.6% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Cut 25bpsFed decision in September? - Cut 25bps | 1.2% | 0.3%–2.0% | YES 0.3% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| 50+ bps hikeFed decision in September? - 50+ bps hike | 0.5% | 0.5%–0.5% | YES 0.5% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| 50+ bps cutFed decision in September? - 50+ bps cut | 0.3% | 0.3%–0.3% | YES 0.3% Polymarket ↗ | |
Compatibility
What matches — and what may differ
What matches
- Super Match has published these source markets under the same comparison proposition.
- The displayed outcome or contract is linked back to the original platform evidence.
- The comparison includes at least two supported platforms in the active publication.
What may differ
- Eligibility, fees, limits, deadlines and settlement procedures can remain platform-specific.
- Displayed values may have changed since this catalogue snapshot was produced.
Source evidence
Report a mismatchOriginal markets and contract wording
Rules may differ. The source pages below are the definitive evidence for wording, eligibility, closing time and settlement.
PolymarketFed Decision in September?
25 bps cut1.6%Not 25 bps cut98.5%
25 bps hike31.0%Not 25 bps hike70.0%
50+ bps cut0.3%<5099.8%
50+ bps hike0.5%<5099.6%
Cut 25bps0.3%Not Cut 25bps99.8%
No change69.0%Not No change32.0%
- Closes
- 16 Sep 2026
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
Gemini PredictionsFed decision in September?
Cut 25bps2.0%Not Cut 25bps99.0%
Cut 25bps2.0%Not Cut 25bps99.0%
- Closes
- 29 Sep 2026
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
PascalFed decision in September
25 bps cut1.6%Not 25 bps cut98.5%
25 bps hike31.0%Not 25 bps hike70.0%
50+ bps cut0.3%<5099.8%
50+ bps hike0.5%<5099.6%
Cut 25bps1.6%Not Cut 25bps98.5%
No change69.0%Not No change32.0%
- Closes
- 16 Sep 2026
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
Independent market research
Displayed values are source observations captured for the publication and may include executable-style offers or platform-reported indicative probabilities. They may have changed since observation. Apparent differences do not establish that transactions could be executed simultaneously or profitably. Contract wording, eligibility, fees, limits and settlement processes remain platform-specific.
Outcome-level source ranges
Outcome ranges and best source values are shown in the Summary table above so each named contract remains aligned with its source evidence.
Details and methodology
How this economic prediction market was compared
For Fed decision in September, Prediction Market Radar aligned compatible source markets from Polymarket, Gemini Predictions and Pascal around the same economic release or policy outcome. Each named outcome is retained separately so prices are not attached to the wrong outcome. Differences may still reflect data releases, policy expectations, survey revisions, timing and liquidity. Before acting, verify data series, release period, threshold, revision policy and authoritative publisher on every source platform.
- Topic
- Business & Finance
- Participating platforms
- PolymarketGemini PredictionsPascal
- Outcomes
- 7
Market context
What Super Match checks
Super Match keeps source wording, outcomes, deadlines and settlement evidence attached to each offer. Similar headlines are not treated as equivalent when those details conflict.
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