2 supported platforms · Multi-outcome event
Next Senate Democratic Leader?
Brian Schatz
Super Match links compatible published offers for Next Senate Democratic Leader from Kalshi and Manifold. Each named outcome remains separate so an offer is never attached to the wrong choice. Open the original markets to confirm the latest price, wording, deadline and settlement rules.
How to read this event
Each row is a separate named outcome. The indicative midpoint is the centre of the YES range across compatible sources; it is not a guaranteed executable price and the displayed candidates may not form a complete 100% book.
Comparison summary
Report a mismatchComparable outcome field
| Outcome | Midpoint | YES range | Best YES | Sources | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian SchatzNext Senate Democratic Leader? - Brian Schatz | 34.3% | 34.3%–34.3% | YES 34.3% Manifold ↗ | | |
| Chris MurphyNext Senate Democratic Leader? - Chris Murphy | 15.1% | 15.1%–15.1% | YES 15.1% Manifold ↗ | | |
| Chris Van HollenNext Senate Democratic Leader? - Chris Van Hollen | 12.0% | 12.0%–12.0% | YES 12.0% Manifold ↗ | | |
| Cory BookerNext Senate Democratic Leader? - Cory Booker | 11.3% | 11.3%–11.3% | YES 11.3% Manifold ↗ | | |
| Amy KlobucharNext Senate Democratic Leader? - Amy Klobuchar | 1.6% | 1.6%–1.6% | YES 1.6% Manifold ↗ | |
Compatibility
What matches — and what may differ
What matches
- Super Match has published these source markets under the same comparison proposition.
- The displayed outcome or contract is linked back to the original platform evidence.
- The comparison includes at least two supported platforms in the active publication.
What may differ
- Eligibility, fees, limits, deadlines and settlement procedures can remain platform-specific.
- Displayed values may have changed since this catalogue snapshot was produced.
Source evidence
Report a mismatchOriginal markets and contract wording
Rules may differ. The source pages below are the definitive evidence for wording, eligibility, closing time and settlement.
KalshiNext Senate Democratic Leader?
Amy Klobuchar1.9%Not Amy Klobuchar99.0%
Brian Schatz11.0%Not Brian Schatz94.8%
Chris Murphy22.0%Not Chris Murphy84.0%
Chris Van Hollen9.0%Not Chris Van Hollen96.0%
Cory Booker4.6%Not Cory Booker99.0%
- Closes
- 31 Dec 2028
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
ManifoldNext Senate Democratic Leader?
Amy Klobuchar1.6%Not Amy Klobuchar100.0%
Brian Schatz34.3%Not Brian Schatz67.7%
Chris Murphy15.1%Not Chris Murphy86.9%
Chris Van Hollen12.0%Not Chris Van Hollen90.0%
Cory Booker11.3%Not Cory Booker90.7%
- Closes
- 31 Dec 2028
- Quote type
- Indicative
Independent market research
Displayed values are source observations captured for the publication and may include executable-style offers or platform-reported indicative probabilities. They may have changed since observation. Apparent differences do not establish that transactions could be executed simultaneously or profitably. Contract wording, eligibility, fees, limits and settlement processes remain platform-specific.
Outcome-level source ranges
Outcome ranges and best source values are shown in the Summary table above so each named contract remains aligned with its source evidence.
Details and methodology
How this political prediction market was compared
For Next Senate Democratic Leader, Prediction Market Radar aligned compatible source markets from Kalshi and Manifold around the same political contest or decision. Each named outcome is retained separately so prices are not attached to the wrong outcome. Differences may still reflect polling, campaign developments, candidate eligibility, regional participation and market depth. Before acting, verify candidate or option eligibility, jurisdiction, election stage, deadline and official resolution source on every source platform.
- Topic
- Politics & Elections
- Outcomes
- 5
Market context
What Super Match checks
Super Match keeps source wording, outcomes, deadlines and settlement evidence attached to each offer. Similar headlines are not treated as equivalent when those details conflict.
Keep exploring