2 supported platforms · Market outcome
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal — Before Sep 1, 2026?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Super Match links compatible published offers for When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal — Before Sep 1, 2026 from Kalshi and Gemini Predictions. YES and NO offers are compared separately so the direction of every source quote is preserved. Open the original markets to confirm the latest price, wording, deadline and settlement rules.
KalshiOpen original source ↗Gemini PredictionsOpen original source ↗Before Sep 1, 2026
1.0%
Not before Sep 1, 2026
80.0%
Compatibility
What matches — and what may differ
What matches
- Super Match has published these source markets under the same comparison proposition.
- The displayed outcome or contract is linked back to the original platform evidence.
- The comparison includes at least two supported platforms in the active publication.
What may differ
- Eligibility, fees, limits, deadlines and settlement procedures can remain platform-specific.
- Displayed values may have changed since this catalogue snapshot was produced.
Source evidence
Report a mismatchOriginal markets and contract wording
Rules may differ. The source pages below are the definitive evidence for wording, eligibility, closing time and settlement.
KalshiWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Sep 1, 20261.0%Not Before Sep 1, 2026100.0%
- Closes
- 1 Jul 2027
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
Gemini PredictionsWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Sep 1, 202621.0%Not Before Sep 1, 202680.0%
- Closes
- 2 Jan 2027
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
Independent market research
Displayed values are source observations captured for the publication and may include executable-style offers or platform-reported indicative probabilities. They may have changed since observation. Apparent differences do not establish that transactions could be executed simultaneously or profitably. Contract wording, eligibility, fees, limits and settlement processes remain platform-specific.
Before Sep 1, 2026 and Not before Sep 1, 2026 spreads
| Contract | Best Before Sep 1, 2026 | Before Sep 1, 2026 spread | Best Not before Sep 1, 2026 | Not before Sep 1, 2026 spread | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? - Before Sep 1, 2026Before Sep 1, 2026 | 1.0% Kalshi ↗ | 20.0% | 80.0% Gemini Predictions ↗ | 20.0% | 2 |
Details and methodology
How this prediction market comparison was compared
For When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal — Before Sep 1, 2026, Prediction Market Radar aligned compatible source markets from Kalshi and Gemini Predictions around the same real-world event or outcome. The YES and NO sides are retained separately so prices are not attached to the wrong outcome. Differences may still reflect new information, participants, wording, deadlines and market liquidity. Before acting, verify exact proposition, outcome wording, deadline and resolution source on every source platform.
- Topic
- Politics & Elections
- Participating platforms
- KalshiGemini Predictions
- Outcomes
- 1
Market context
What Super Match checks
Super Match keeps source wording, outcomes, deadlines and settlement evidence attached to each offer. Similar headlines are not treated as equivalent when those details conflict.
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